Small-coupling dynamic cavity: A Bayesian mean-field framework for epidemic inference Alfredo Braunstein, Giovanni Catania, Luca Dall'asta, Matteo Mariani, Fabio Mazza, Mattia Tarabolo (2025) Small-coupling dynamic cavity: A Bayesian mean-field framework for epidemic inference, In: PHYSICAL REVIEW RESEARCH, pp. 1-25, ISSN: 2643-1564